Thursday, October 11, 2012

Obama Clings to Narrow Leads in New Round of Polls

President Barack Obama clings to narrow leads over Republican Mitt Romney in key swing states, according to a new round of polls released Wednesday. Nationally, Romney maintains a slim advantage. Whether or not Romney's post-debate bounce has crested is unclear, and with the next debate scheduled for tomorrow, another shake-up in the polls may be in store.

Wisconsin

A new Rasmussen survey of Wisconsin found Obama with the lead. The president was ahead by 2 percent over Romney, 51-49 percent. The poll surveyed 500 likely voters with a 4.5 percent margin of error. Obama had led in Wisconsin by double digits before the debate. Wisconsin is the home state of Mitt Romney's vice presidential candidate, Paul Ryan. Ryan is scheduled to meet Vice President Joe Biden in a debate in Danville, Ky., on Thursday.

Ohio

A poll conducted by SurveyUSA shows Obama with a slim one-point advantage, 45-44 percent. The poll of 808 likely voters had a 3.5 percent margin of error. Eight percent were undecided. Prior to the first debate last week, Obama had polled well in Ohio , losing only one poll out of 16. In October, Obama is now three out of five, with four polls showing either Romney or Obama ahead by a single point.

Nevada

SurveyUSA also polled Nevada, and found Obama again with a one-point margin, 47-46 percent. The poll, in conjunction with the Las Vegas Review-Journal (LVRJ), surveyed 1,222 likely voters with a 2.9 percent margin of error. In a statement to the Review-Journal, pollster Jay Leve said, "Right now, I think you have a jump ball in Nevada. And one of two scenarios will play out. One is that Romney will continue the momentum he has right now ... The second scenario is that Obama regains some footing and the race drifts slightly more Democratic, and there's an opportunity for Obama to hold Nevada."

Pennsylvania

In good news for the Obama campaign, a new Rasmussen poll puts the president back in the lead by five points. This result is an improvement over earlier polls this week showing the race much closer. The survey of 500 likely voters gave Obama the edge over Romney, 51-46 percent. The poll's margin of error was 4.5 percent. Obama has not trailed in Pennsylvania since February , but his lead has narrowed since his poor debate performance last week.

National Polls

Romney continues to run even or slightly ahead of Obama in national tracking polls. The Rasmussen Three Day Tracking Poll has Romney up by one point, 48-47 percent. The Gallup Seven Day Tracking Poll has the candidates tied at 48 percent each. Both polls track voter preferences and trends over several days, averaging results to show changing opinions over time. The results of both polls are within their respective margins of error.

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/obama-clings-narrow-leads-round-polls-203200059.html

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